Hear the roar get louder in your ears

Fox keeps running editorials from these fossilized old neocons who're convinced that now is the best chance ever to destabilize the Chinese government, so we can spread democracy. While they're tactically correct, undermining Peking's control right now is just cutting off your nose to spite your face. Considering how smoothly China's last attempt at a western-style democracy went, I tend to doubt whether it's even a good long-term goal. Democracy's evangelists always tend to skip over what happened when we freed the Germans from that nasty old Kaiser's oppression as well.

*****

538's election model now shows a 37% chance of a contested convention. While I hesitate to measure myself against Nathan Silver, I still think that Warren, my initial favourite to win the nomination, still has a chance. She won't win it on delegates. I can't imagine the Democrats letting Sanders win. He'd lose POTUS, and he'd wipe out their downticket as well. Joe Biden's going to be either under indictment, or scrambling hard to avoid it, by July. Warren, IMHO, is a compromise candidate who could get Bernie's voters to turn out, without killing the downstream candidates. It would be like the second coming of McGovern for the POTUS race, but they might be able to salvage the House that way.

Daytona

Well, it was a really good race up until the end.

Edit: And Newman is alive and in serious condition, but expected to recover, which is much better than I expected.