More Chinese Doom!
Apr. 2nd, 2020 01:02 pm![[personal profile]](https://www.dreamwidth.org/img/silk/identity/user.png){kind=small}
rain_gryphonThis is interesting. The figures for beds and ICU slots represent the amount needed above and beyond the normal. Indiana has a *huge* excess capacity, as does Ohio. In Indiana we've got about 60% more beds, and 25% more ICU slots, than we're projected to need, so we should be good.
Our Chinese Doom is projected to peak around April 19, hold that level for five days, then begin to decline again. So far, everyone is doing a good job of distancing, etc. The real test will be if people can maintain their discipline when the numbers start to fall. We've got about six more weeks of lockdown, I think.
*****
Our county (Kosciusko) was at zero cases for the longest time. Then we went to one, and the next day to two, and the next day to five. We seem to be kind of stuck there. Marshall and Fulton counties, to the south, each have one. Elkhart county has twenty-seven.
I've a connection to the single case in Fulton county. It's the dad of a young woman that my mother knows. He'll be okay, they think.
*****
Das Beeb carries praise of Mike DeWine. He is, undoubtedly, a really good governor.
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Das Beeb laments the end of globalism. Personally, tight borders and the vertical re-integration of the supply chain are things that I'm devoutly hoping will be a result of the pandemic. Boris and the Orange Man are providing outstanding leadership. It's just not the type of leadership that the globalists are hoping to see.
China is screwed, I think. IMHO, they did themselves huge damage with their churlish threat to withhold drugs and precursor reagents from America and the West. They spoke before they thought, I'm sure, but the damage is done. When the economy restarts, they're going to find themselves holding less and less of it.
Our Chinese Doom is projected to peak around April 19, hold that level for five days, then begin to decline again. So far, everyone is doing a good job of distancing, etc. The real test will be if people can maintain their discipline when the numbers start to fall. We've got about six more weeks of lockdown, I think.
*****
Our county (Kosciusko) was at zero cases for the longest time. Then we went to one, and the next day to two, and the next day to five. We seem to be kind of stuck there. Marshall and Fulton counties, to the south, each have one. Elkhart county has twenty-seven.
I've a connection to the single case in Fulton county. It's the dad of a young woman that my mother knows. He'll be okay, they think.
*****
Das Beeb carries praise of Mike DeWine. He is, undoubtedly, a really good governor.
*****
Das Beeb laments the end of globalism. Personally, tight borders and the vertical re-integration of the supply chain are things that I'm devoutly hoping will be a result of the pandemic. Boris and the Orange Man are providing outstanding leadership. It's just not the type of leadership that the globalists are hoping to see.
China is screwed, I think. IMHO, they did themselves huge damage with their churlish threat to withhold drugs and precursor reagents from America and the West. They spoke before they thought, I'm sure, but the damage is done. When the economy restarts, they're going to find themselves holding less and less of it.
no subject
Date: 2020-04-02 06:54 pm (UTC)I've been expecting since February that April would not be a good time to leave my house. Maybe towards the end of the month, when new cases are on the decline, I can go back to delivering people's lunches so they can continue staying home. Various things (such as court rooms) have already been shut down through the end of May, so I see little point in ending the shelter-in-place order before then.
If this thing really does die down for the summer, maybe we can come out of our hidey-holes for a few months until the next wave starts in the fall. Maybe by then the various vaccine-candidates will be ready for initial trials on front-line healthcare workers. This disease preferentially attacks healthcare workers, along with rich fucks who fly a lot. My area is full of both kinds of people, so 24% of our sick-list are healthcare types. (Ref.)
If this thing *doesn't* die down for the summer, then it has a chance of killing more people this year than the flu, even though the USA is currently in the middle of a flu epidemic, that we can't talk about because COVID-19 is the Enemy of the Day and we mustn't hijack the official narrative.
I don't know yet what China's status will be like after this is over. Certainly lots of people are learning why it is a bad idea to put all your factories in a foreign country. Universal Basic Income might be happening, just as soon as the politicians can come up some sort of explanation for where all that money will be coming from. This is roughly the same problem we had with getting Social Security started.
no subject
Date: 2020-04-03 01:46 am (UTC)