So, how do people think the French election will play out? I have to concede that Macron is the favourite, but I don't think he's in nearly the commanding position that most analysts have him. If you look at it as left vs. right, then Macron ought to win a landslide victory. I don't think that paradigm is valid anymore. I know that for myself, an ardent supporter of Trump, had the election worked out to, say, Marco Rubio or Ted Cruz vs. Bernie Sanders, I'd quite probably have gone for Sanders, just because the political establishment that has existed since FDR has failed so completely to address my needs.
It's interesting to note, when I look at the
positions of the candidates in the primaries, how many of them, even ones I'd call hard left, are advocating French sovereignty over globalism. From the maps, it's also interesting to see in how many districts Melenchon, a sovereignist, came in second.
This will be an interesting election, I expect Macron to win, but I shall be both unamazed and delighted if Le Pen pulls off an upset. We shall see.
Edit: And ZOMG did she just get off a shot! "Either way, France will be run by a woman - me, or Merkel".